For the second year, I have all the predictions for every category so you can claim you did research for your Oscar party (or Oscar streaming event) when you’re competing with your friends.
Will Win: Argo
Should Win: Amour
Admit it, Hollywood loves itself saving the day. That is why they will pick Argo as the winner despite director/star Ben Affleck’s directing nomination snub. However, it is really Amour that stands out as the film that went above and beyond this year. This humanly tale of an elderly Parisian couple healing when Anne suffers from a debilitating stroke is Michael Haneke’s best work to date. And that’s saying something that leapfrog’s his other well-known film, Cache.
Will Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Should Win: Michael Haneke, Amour
Again, Haneke should win the prize for crafting a beautiful film, but in the search of Life of Pi garnering awards for it’s effects and post-production work, it is likely that Lee will take home the prize.
Will Win/Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
At first, I thought it would be Joaquin Phoenix for his smearing portrayal of a lost sailor on a soul-searching journey in The Master would be the winner, then Day-Lewis gave a one-two punch as Abraham Lincoln and now he’s locked in for his third Oscar win.
Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
In such an over-hyped film, Chastain stands out as the confident CIA chief that hunts down Osama Bin Laden for ten years. And that is my confident certification that her young and brilliant acting career should be notified when she wins this award. But then again, there is Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook that is surprisingly drawing more awards buzz (possibly award her for her amazing talent, killer quips, and being able to star in a franchise and indie films.) Watch out between these two nominees on Oscar night.
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained
Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
I don’t think anything is set in stone with this category. With a Golden Globe win for Christoph Waltz as a Western gangster in Django Unchained and a SAG win for Jones, it’s tough to choose which man should win (which is dominated by veteran Oscar winners). My personal wish is to have Jones win to prove that Lincoln wasn’t just a one-man show, but Waltz has become Quentin Tarantino’s best tool in the shed.
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win/Should Win: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
First, let me congratulate Jacki Weaver for scoring a nomination for her performance in Silver Linings Playbook. Sadly, this has a lock on Hathaway who will win Jennifer Hudson-in-Dreamgirls-style. And admit it, you cried while she sang “I Dreamed a Dream.”
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win/Should Win: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
Kushner’s script put Aaron Sorkin’s political and sharp writing to shame. That is how good it is. My second favorite is David O. Russell’s Silver Linings Playbook for its boisterous voice. However, they are competing in the same category, and one has to win.
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Should Win: Michael Haneke, Amour
Tarantino will walk away with the prize for the most original piece of work, but, again, Haneke should be awarded for crafting such a brilliant film on the page.
Best Animated Feature Film: Wreck-It Ralph
Best Cinematography: Life of Pi
Best Costume Design: Anna Karenina
Best Documentary Feature: How to Survive a Plague
Best Documentary Short: Open Heart
Best Film Editing: Argo
Best Foreign Language Film: Amour
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Hitchcock
Best Original Score: Life of Pi
Best Original Song: “Skyfall” from Skyfall
Best Production Design: Lincoln
Best Animated Short Film: Paperman
Best Short Film: Buzkashi Boys
Best Sound Editing: Skyfall
Best Sound Mixing: Les Misérables
Best Visual Effects: Life of Pi